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Hello and welcome to Insider Investing. I’m Joe Ciolli, and I’m here to guide you through what’s been happening in markets, as well as what to expect in the coming weeks. Here’s what’s on the docket:
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Your weekly outlook
This past week featured more tug-of-war in the stock and bond markets between fears of runaway inflation and confidence in the economic recovery. The highlight of the week was Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference as part of the central bank’s rate decision, which seemingly soothed investor nerves and caused stocks to surge into the close.
Then the next day everyone seemed to get cold feet. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked yet again to a more than one-year high, signaling renewed inflation fears. That helped take a 3% bite out of the tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday. Now heading into next week the market once again finds itself seemingly rudderless and vulnerable to inflationary mood swings.
The input to watch this week will once again be the 10-year yield, which has become the foremost indicator of inflation fears. It’s the highest since January 2020 right now. If investors continue to question Powell’s insistence on maintaining stimulative asset purchases, it could spike even more. Then stocks — namely tech — could tank further. Stay tuned.