Bitcoin’s (BTC) whipsaw volatility has been on full display throughout June, leaving traders confused and in search of the latest technical indicator or major news announcement that might provide some hint at which way the price will move.
As the month of June comes toward an end, traders are now focused BTC’s on the monthly close to determine if the forward outlook is tilted toward bulls or bears.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is still 47% away from its all-time high at $64,873 and analysts have a mixed view on whether or not the bullish momentum will return in the short term. Here are three perspectives analysts have in mind as the market prepares to head into the month of July.
Bitcoin needs to hold the $34,500 support
A survey of crypto Twitter shows that many chart watchers have identified $34,500 as a crucial price level that needs to be defended to establish the bull case for Bitcoin moving forward.
So far, this current period in the 2021 cycle is very similar to the 2013 mid-cycle correction
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) June 30, 2021
According to Rekt Capital, a pseudonymous trader on Twitter, a close near this level would put the market on a similar trajectory to the BItcoin price pattern seen during the 2013 bull market which included a mid-cycle correction before price broke out to a new all-time high later in the year.
From this bullish perspective, the price of Bitcoin should soon continue the uptrend that began in late 2020 and will theoretically lead to a new all-time high later in 2021 or early 2022 which is projected to surpass $100,000 according to the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model.
Despite the widespread acceptance and faith in the S2F model, Bitcoin’s recent price action led even Plan B, the creator of the popular model, to feel “uneasy” about BTC’s most recent dip to the lower bound of the model.
Even for me it is always a bit uneasy when bitcoin price is at the lower bound of the stock-to-flow model. Will it hold (like Mar 2019 when I published S2F, or Mar 2020 Covid, or Sep 2020 with BTC stuck at $10K) and is this another buying opportunity? Or will S2F be invalidated? pic.twitter.com/iIjTC2Ncy3
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) June 23, 2021
Signs of a bearish breakdown
While bull market advocates look for any sign to validate a move higher, the price action on June 30 caught the eye of another pseudonymous Twitter analyst called John Wick. According to the analyst, there is a bearish topping pattern that can be se in the most recent BTC chart.
#BTC (4h update)
Just as we were getting off to a good start, a topping signal printed & confirmed. Had confluence from Bearish RSI cross + Bearish Thrust
Lets see if we can hold $34k support. If not we are still range bound. Getting above…